DONALD Trump is tipped to remain in the White House as a new poll shows he’s gaining on Democratic opponent Joe Biden.
The gap is dramatically closing in the US presidential race with Biden’s national lead dropping to less than five per cent, while the battleground states sit at a much closer three per cent margin.
Biden has told backers it’s ‘time for Donald Trump to pack his bags and go home’Credit: AFP or licensors
Donald Trump is visiting five swing states on Sunday in a punishing finale to a frantic weekend sprint before November 3Credit: AP:Associated Press
The latest Trump versus Biden poll shows a “narrower lead” for the former vice president over the president several days before the November 3 election, according to the IBD/TIPP tracking poll results.
Investor’s Business Daily’s survey – the results of which were released on Saturday – found that the “Democratic challenger is leading the Republican incumbent by 4.8 points, 49.5%-44.7%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters.
“Biden’s lead was 5.6 points on Friday.”
Furthermore, “in a head-to-head Trump vs. Biden poll, the Democratic nominee leads by 5.7 points, 49.8%-44.1%, down from 6.6 points a day earlier.”
Democratic US presidential nominee Joe Biden at a campaign drive-in, event in Detroit, Michigan, October 31Credit: Reuters
Biden has a narrow three-point edge in swing states – the six states decided by less than two points in 2016.
The Trump vs. Biden poll also “finds Biden up by 23 points in blue states and Trump leading by 11 points in red states,” IBD explains.
The presidential poll also found that ten per cent of likely voters say they’re still at least somewhat likely to change their minds.
Meanwhile, swing-state voters are “wavering more than residents of red and blue states”, found IBD.
RESULTS OF IBD/TIPP TRACKING POLL OCT 31
National: Biden 49.5% Trump 46.3%
Midwest: Trump 46.3% Biden 48.4%
Northeast: Trump 34.6% Biden 57.3%
South: Trump 49% Biden 45.6%
West: Trump 43.5% Biden 51%
In its analysis of the findings, IBD noted: “The Trump vs. Biden race may not hinge quite as much upon those swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire if Biden pulls an upset in places like Arizona, Iowa or North Carolina.
“Trump also is competitive in Nevada, a blue state in 2016.”
However, IBD said that the poll suggests that two things “are working in Biden’s favor.
“Voters are putting more focus on the coronavirus as cases spiral, and Trump is losing a small but significant share of his 2016 voters.”
Trump is gaining on Biden, the poll showsCredit: AP:Associated Press
Biden’s support had held at 50 per cent or higher for six straight days, before dipping to 49.5 per cent in the new presidential poll.
Interestingly, the research shows the candidates tied at 46 per cent among senior voters.
- Trump is winning among men by ten points, 52%-42%. Trump carried the group by 11 points in 2016.
- Women favor Biden by 56%-38%.
- White voters favor Trump by a four-point margin, 49%-45%.
- Trump is enjoying a “significant improvement among black and Hispanic voters” when compared to the 2016 election.
- Biden has just a “two-point edge among Hispanics and a 63-point lead among black voters”, the poll found.
- “Republicans again appear more enthused about their candidate”.
IBD/TIPP is a collaboration between Investor’s Business Daily and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
The website says that it’s been consistently “America’s most accurate national pollster” in recent presidential elections, dating back to 2004.
Sunday sees Trump visiting five swing states in a punishing finale to a frantic weekend sprint against Biden just days ahead of the US presidential election.
The president is seeing voters during an exhausting schedule in toss-up states Michigan, Iowa, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
Biden is focusing on Pennsylvania – a key battleground likely to play a crucial role in Tuesday’s election.
A record 92million early votes have already been cast, as the bruising contest heads toward the biggest turnout in at least a century.
Trump warned on Saturday of “bedlam in our country” if no clear winner emerges quickly in the election.
He also claimed it could take weeks to sort out a result and that “very bad things” could happen in the interim.
Biden meanwhile told backers it was “time for Donald Trump to pack his bags and go home”.
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