The ever-popular Eurovision Song Contest will take place again this weekend in Malmö, Sweden, following Loren’s victory in Liverpool last year.
In anticipation of this year’s event, PASINO.ch have examined the characteristics of winning entries over the past 20 years with the aim of uncovering the secret formula for a Eurovision hit along with a prediction for this year’s event based on the findings.
The review encompasses various musical factors such as genre, key, beats per minute (BPM), energy, danceability and more.
According to this analysis, it was found that among Eurovision winners, the most popular genre is pop music which makes up 70% of all victorious songs followed by rock at 15%. Other genres like hip-hop, future garage or jazz each only account for 5%. Winners’ average tempo equals 123 BPM though their commonest tempi are usually 130 and 172 BPMs.
Examples of high-energy songs are ‘Running Scared’ by Ell and Nikki (Azerbaijan) as well as ‘Wild Dances’ by Ruslana (Ukraine). Normally, danceability rate is 56% while average energy levels stand at about 69%.
The most common keys used:
- E Min (15%)
- C Major (15%)
- E Maj (10%)
- A Min (10%)
- D Min (10%)
- B Min (10%)
- C Min (10%)
The most common camelot:
- 8B (15%)
- 2A (10%)
- 5A (10%)
- 5B (10%)
- 7A (10%)
- 10A (10%)
- 8A (10%)
- 9A (10%)
Eurovision 2024 Prediction
Historically speaking, nearly 70% of favourites going into the Eurovision Song Contest have ended up winning the competition. Switzerland is entering this year’s event as a frontrunner for the first time since 2007 with Nemo’s ‘The Code’. Interesting fact; prior to her international pop stardom, Celine Dion represented Switzerland in the 1988 Eurovision Final, defeating Scott Fitzgerald from the UK by just a single point.
Ukraine and Sweden have each won the competition three times in the last twenty years with iconic songs such as ‘Tattoo’ and ‘Euphoria’ by Loreen, and ‘Heroes’ by Mans Zelmerlow for Sweden; as well as ‘Stefania’ by Kalush Orchestra, ‘1944’ by Jamala, and ‘Wild Dances’ by Ruslana for Ukraine.
Based on the findings by PASINO.ch, the study suggests that Greece’s entry ‘Zari’, a pop song in C Major with a camelot of 8B and an energy level of 68% will closely match previous winner characteristics making it a strong competitor for Eurovision 2024.
One to watch out for, we can’t wait to see who wins!
